Global tourism has been one of the most affected sectors during the COVID-19 crisis. Our tourism recovery model forecasts a cumulative drop of $3 trillion to $8 trillion before tourism expenditure returns to pre-COVID-19 levels. Recovery will be slow and driven by the underlying dependencies countries had on domestic and nonair travel. Different countries, therefore, should prepare for their own recovery curves and reimagine their tourism sectors (as well as the support they provide) differently.
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